Development
        Studies
        MSc.
        Development Studies                                                                         
         Unit: Strategies for Industrialisation topic: What
        are the main characteristics of industrial development in developing
        societies since the Second World War? 
         
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        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Key words: Industrialisation and development, developing societies.; . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------  | 
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         1. Introduction     
      To begin with a definition: industrialisation is the process by which a
      non-industrialised country becomes an industrialised one. It is the
      general process by which economies and societies in which agriculture and
      the production of handicrafts predominate become transformed into
      economics and societies where manufacturing and related extractive
      industries are central (Jary, D & Jary, J, 1995). In other words, the
      extensive development of organised economic activity for the purpose of
      manufacture. Industrialisation is characterised by the transformation of
      primarily agrarian economy into a more specialised, capital-intensive
      economy. Thus industrialisation can mean simply an increased percentage of
      GDP (Gross Domestic Products) from industrial sector outputs, or, more
      fundamentally, a process by which production in the industrial sector
      becomes increasingly important compared with agricultural production; and
      a general change of scale, concentration towards the use of advanced
      technology and a complex division of labour in production with associated
      change in social structure and organisation. Now
      I then move on to examine and discuss the main characteristics of
      industrial development in developing societies since the Second World War:     The vast majority of developing countries or the
      so-called ‘Third World’ are agrarian societies in economic, social and
      cultural outlook. Agriculture, both subsistence and commercial, forms the
      principal economic activity in terms of the occupational distribution of
      the labour force, if not in terms of proportionate contributions to the
      gross national product. Farming is not only an occupation; it is a way of
      life for most people in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Nevertheless, the
      structure of agrarian systems and patterns of land ownership show great
      differences between, for example Latin America and Africa, but with Asian
      agrarian systems somewhat closer to those of Latin America in terms of
      patterns of land and ownership. However, there are substantial cultural
      differences which modify these similarities between Latin America and
      Asia. It
      is in the relative importance of the manufacturing and service sectors
      that can describe the widest variation among developing nations. Most
      Latin American countries, having a longer history of independence and, in
      general, higher level of nation income than African and Asian nations,
      process more advanced industrial sectors. But in the 1970s and 1980s such
      countries such as Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Brazil and Singapore
      greatly accelerated the growth of their manufacturing outputs and are
      rapidly becoming industrialised states (Todaro, 1992). In terms of size
      India and China as two of the largest manufacturing sectors in the Third
      World, but this is nevertheless small in relation to its enormous rural
      population.         The conventional grouping ‘developing
      countries’ is very heterogeneous, covering countries with very different
      population sizes, income levels, resource endowments, and political and
      social cultures. However, most developing countries are committed to
      transforming or changing their rural-based agricultural economies to
      urban-based industrial ones. There may be differences in level of
      industrialisation they wish to achieve, the speed at which they wish to
      industrialize, or in their industrialisation strategies, but nearly all of
      them are strongly committed to their goal of industrialisation. Developing
      countries desire industrialisation because they realise that it is
      inextricably linked to development and that, historically,
      industrialisation has been the only path to development. Countries that
      are classed today as developed have all gone through an industrial
      revolution. Indeed, there is almost no country that one would be prepared
      to call ‘developed’ that has not gone through an industrial
      transformation 2.
      The historical dimensions of Third World industrialisation      However, the current economic, social and
      political situation of developing countries cannot be properly understood
      without an adequate understanding of its historical background.
      Contemporary successes and failure of the Third World are deeply rooted in
      the historical evolution of these societies. Furthermore, the forces that
      shaped the Third World are still active, and they are powerful impediment
      to its fuller development. A
      historical appreciation of the Third World is especially important because
      of the great chasm that divides it from the more wealthy, developed and
      industrialised countries is a relatively recent phenomenon. Many people,
      not exposed to history, are apt to forget this as they develop stereotypes
      of the Third World as poor, technologically backward and culturally
      inferior societies. The truth is that, until the onslaught of European
      Imperialism, these societies were culturally vibrant, economically wealthy
      and technologically advanced, in many cases more advanced than Europe
      itself. Specific cases can be singled out: the Aztec and Inca civilization
      of the Americas, India, China, Egypt, and the Muslim civilization that
      stretched from southern Spain to the Indian Ocean (Chandra, 1992). While
      Europe was far behind some of these societies, it was Europe that evolved
      from feudalism to capitalism. This development was nascent in China and
      India, but these societies were never able fully to evolve to capitalism.
      The evolution of capitalism in Europe enabled it to develop an industrial,
      technological and intellectual base that was lacking in other societies.
      Capitalism also led to the industrial revolution in Britain in the late
      eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries, and this industrial revolution
      needed Germany and the United States. The industrial revolution needed
      overseas outlets for investment, overseas sources for it raw materials and
      overseas markets for its manufactured goods, and led to the overseas
      expansion of Europe. At the same time, this overseas expansion contributed
      to the success of the industrial revolution itself. 3. The Evolution of Developing Countries Industrial
      Policies 
 *Export
      processing Zones (EPZs) **
      Import Substitution Orientation (IOS) 4. The Developing Countries Industrialisation     
      Nonetheless, industrialisation in the developing countries is not a
      completely new phenomenon. In some countries it dates back to the early
      part of the twentieth century. Two world wars and the Great Depression,
      which disrupted international trade and the supply of manufactured goods
      from the industrial countries, boosted industrialisation in some parts of
      the Third World. Nevertheless, at the end of the Second World War most of
      the Third World, apart from Latin America, was still under the control of
      the colonial powers and remained predominantly agricultural.       
      Yet, the process of industrialisation has varied greatly from
      region to region in the Third World, depending on the differences in the
      overall impact of colonialism and imperialism on their economies and
      societies, and more specifically on the volume and diversity of modern
      industry, modern infrastructure, skilled manpower and higher education
      from the early 1950s in Latin America and Asia, and the early 1960s in
      Africa. These reference points may appear somewhat by chance, but they
      have a certain validity: although most Latin American countries had
      already acquired formal political independence by the second haft of the
      nineteenth century, and in some of them, like Argentina, Brazil, Chile and
      Mexico, the process of industrialisation and modern
      infrastructure-building had gathered some momentum by the early 1930s. It
      was certainly not by accident that industrialisation had occurred in the
      1930s in Latin America, but rather it was in response to the profound
      crisis of capitalism in the 1930s in Western Europe and the United States
      “the Great Depression” and the ensuing Second World War (1939-1945)
      cut down the resources and markets necessary for an expansion of industry
      and infrastructure in Latin America no less than in other regions of the
      Third World. Industrialisation and the response to the drastic fall in the
      region’s agricultural and mineral export earnings and the need for
      tighter control on imports. After the Second World War it became the
      central feature of development strategies industrialisation. Not
      surprisingly, after the experience of the Great Depression ‘export
      pessimism’ reigned and the prospects for increasing exports to the
      industrialised countries seemed bleak. If the Latin American were to grow,
      it was argued, they would have to produce manufactured goods (Jenkins,
      1992)       
      For the most countries of Developing World, many of them former
      colonial territories were independent after the Second World War, saw
      themselves as markedly different from the nations of Europe and North
      America in two central ways; – They were ‘poorer’ and ‘less’
      industrialised; The way forward, in planning their own destinies, seemed
      to many to be the machine, the factory and the power station.
      Industrialisation was the way to a secure and less dependent future, to
      the creation of wealth and the removal of poverty.     
      With decolonisation, newly independent countries in Africa and Asia
      took a similar view, and industrialisation spread. Specialisation in
      agriculture materials was identified with colonialism and backwardness;
      industrialisation with increased economic activity, productivity and
      increased standards of living. The need for political independence
      provided a further impetus to industrialisation.     
      However, the initial optimism concerning both the possibilities and
      potential results of industrialisation proved exaggerated. The
      technological lead of the advanced industrialised meant that the new
      industries being set up in the developing countries had to be protected
      from competition from imports. It also meant that they were unable to
      compete in world markets with manufactured goods from developed countries,
      so that exports, which had played such an important part were experiences
      in the industrial revolution period in Western Europe, did not play a
      leading role. This form of industrialisation of developing countries replacing
      imported manufactured goods with locally produced goods came to be known
      as import substitution. 5. Import Substitution Industrialisation and
      Protectionism     
      The drive for industrialisation in developing countries began with
      import-substitution industrialisation (ISI). Almost every developing
      country, including those now regarded as models of successful
      industrialisers, such as Brazil, Singapore and South Korea, used this
      strategy. ISI involved the local production of previously imported
      manufactured goods. Industrialisation in developing countries was given
      impetus by the breakdown in international trade during the Second World
      War, which necessitated some industrialisation in the colonies, by the
      depression of the 1930s in developed countries, and by the fluctuating or
      deteriorating prices of agricultural commodities (Chandra,
      1992).       
      There were many reasons why did developing countries adopt an
      import-substituting industrialisation strategy rather than producing for
      export; - First, post-colonial societies were acutely conscious of
      depending too much on their previous colonial powers; they wish to become
      self-sufficient. The ISI theories appeared to offer them the chance to
      reduce their dependence on developed countries by relying on domestic
      markets and building an indigenous technological capacity; - Second,
      export production was not feasible then because of the inability of
      developing countries to compete with established producers; - Third, and
      according to Chandra, ISI allowed developing countries to foster the
      growth of industrial activities by national entrepreneurs; - an
      export-oriented strategy would have necessarily involved extensive foreign
      ownership in manufacturing. In order to nurture industries, developing
      countries provided high levels of protection to domestic manufacturing;
      these included tariffs on overseas goods and licensing, with imports being
      allowed only to supplement domestic production. Protection accorded to
      industry was further enhanced through tough screening of foreign
      investment, thus limiting competition.       
      Most developing countries were primary producers and the export of
      primary products was their major, often only, source of exchange needed to
      energize economic development. The import of manufactured goods from
      abroad not only limited this opportunity but also could, and often did,
      lead to crises in the balance of payments. Two concerted actions were open
      to countries in such situations. First industrial could be set up to
      produce goods at home replace some of those imported and, second, tariffs
      quotas and other measures taken, could be implemented to keep out a wide
      range of “non-essential” manufactured goods and at the same time
      protect the infant home industries. This need for protection has often
      been increased in developing countries because they have over-valued their
      currencies. This meant the imports appeared as particularly low-cost
      competitor to home products. It continued to be the case of all imported
      commodities not covered by the protective measures. These could include
      raw materials and components used in the manufacture of “inessential
      industries” and so their use would be encouraged. (Griffin and Enos,
      1970), who take a jaundiced view of the efficacy of import-substitution,
      point out that in such situations home industries developed production
      techniques based upon imported materials with the result that a greater
      use is made of imported inputs. Protecting the balance of payments may
      result in both the development of “inessential industries” – (that
      is industries which are considered of low priority either in laying the
      foundations of economic development or characterised by a low industrial
      linkage propensity) and a greater use of imports. So while the output of
      home-produced goods increases, being based upon imports it uses exchange
      revenue and does much to defeat the purpose of import-substitution. They
      argue that most new industrial ventures in developing countries are
      markedly less efficient than their counterpart in the Industrial World. In
      consequence the ratio of inputs to outputs is greater and their use of the
      imported raw materials much more extravagant. The net result is that, in
      money terms, the import-substitution effect is very low (see also in
      Bernstein, 1973). There is another possible consequence. Devoting a great
      amount of investment capital to the import-substituting consumer goods
      industries means less is available to establish capital goods industries.
      If these basic industries does not exist or cannot expand, they are able
      neither to serve the import-substitute industries nor initiate the
      establishment of any others. Capital goods have, therefore, to be imported
      and increase still further import costs. It is true of course, that this
      investment in imported capital goods will, in the long run, help sustain
      output. Indeed it can be argue that is preferable to invest in capital
      goods industries and in manufacturing designed to produce competitive
      exports rather than to encourage a large domestic demand for consumer
      goods which, since it cannot be met adequately from home industries, will
      maintain a taste for imported items.     
      In 1950s a large proportion of developing countries chose the path
      of import-substituting industrialisation and protectionism. Behind tariff
      barriers they further assisted the new home industries by granting them
      tax exemption and providing capital loan at low interest rates. In some
      countries the state was directly involved, in others private enterprises
      and in most a mix of the two. Protectionism it was felt would allow the
      new industries, with their inexperienced management and workforce, to
      establish themselves securely, iron out difficulties and become
      increasingly efficient so that they could eventually withstand the
      competition. This approach was adopted both by countries following the
      consumer-goods approach and by those taking the basic-industries road. Its
      effectiveness in allowing the development of efficiency proved to be far
      from unqualified success (Griffin and Enos, 1970). For example, according
      to Griffin and Enos, country like Ghana where in 1964, twenty-two out of
      thirty-one state industries not only failed to make a profit but achieved
      massive losses, and from country like Chile where the privately owned
      motor vehicle industry in the 1960s was grossly inefficient in it use of
      resources and from Pakistan where inefficiency was present in a large
      proportion of industries (Islam, 1967). The evidence appears to indicate a
      greater tendency to inefficiency in the consumer-goods sectors. It should
      be pointed out, however, that initial inefficiencies are to be expected;
      The question is the extent to which they are unduly prolonged by excessive
      protection. Continuing inefficiency and hence high unit costs together
      with an over-valued currency acts as a positive disincentive to the export
      of manufactures. The following analysed cited by Chenery (1979)
      demonstrated the negative effect of import-substitution policy: Over the
      time these policies lead to relatively low levels of exports, diversion of
      resources from agriculture, and ultimately a slowdown in the growth of
      industry and of Gross National Product (GNP) as the possibilities for
      import substitution are progressively exhausted. Because of this market
      limit, the strategy of inward-looking development usually succeeds in
      eliminating the specialisation in primary production but not in achieving
      manufactured exports (Chenery, 1979).       
      Clearly, the discrimination in favour of import substitution and
      against exports did not permit the development of manufactured exports in
      countries engaging in second-stage import substitution behind high
      protection. There were also adverse developments in primary exports as low
      prices for producers and consumers reduced the exportable surplus by
      discouraging production and encouraging consumption. In fact, rather than
      improvements in the external terms of trade that were supposed to result,
      turning the internal terms of trade against primary activities market
      shares were especially pronounced in cereals, meat, oilseeds, and
      nonferrous metals, benefiting developed countries, in particular, the
      United States, Canada, and Australia (Balassa, 1981)     
      And according to Balassa, in several developing countries, the cost
      of protection is estimated to have reached 6-7 % of GNP. At the same time,
      there is evidence that the rate of growth of total factor productivity was
      lower in countries engaging in second-stage import substitution than in
      the industrial countries.   6.
      Industrialisation and structure change: Outward-Oriented Industrial
      Development Strategies       
      The slowdown in economic growth that eventually resulted from the
      pursuit of an inward-oriented development strategy led to policy reform in
      several of the developing countries which were undertaken in the
      mid-sixties in Argentina, Brazil and Colombia, and in subsequent years in
      Mexico. The reforms generally involved providing subsidies to manufactured
      exports, reducing import protection, applying a system of ‘crawling
      pegs’, adopting positive real interest rates, and introducing greater
      realism in the pricing of public utilities (Balassa, 1981).     
      Apart from the lack of biased against exports, countries applying
      outward-oriented development strategies generally had positive real
      interest rates, adopted realistic price for public utilities, reduced
      inter-industry differences in incentives, and provided for automaticity
      and stability in the incentive system. On the whole, these countries
      minimized price distortions and relied on the market mechanism for
      efficient resource allocation and rapid economic growth. An
      outward-oriented strategy also has been pursued in Korea, Singapore and
      Taiwan.     
      Nevertheless, with the adoption of the ‘crawling peg’, the
      policy reform undertaken in the four Latin American countries imparted
      considerable stability to the incentive system. Also, discrimination
      against exports and against primary activities was reduced to a
      considerable extent which such discrimination persisted in countries that
      continued to apply policies of import substitution during the period until
      the oil crisis of 1973. Such was the case in India, Chile, and Uruguay (Balassa,
      1981).     
      In India, the introduction of selected export subsidies in the
      mid-sixties was far overshadowed by the continued use of import
      prohibitions and the controls imposed on investment; subsidies were also
      subject to complex regulations and discretionary decisions making. Chile
      traditionally had the highest level of import protection in Latin America
      and, after brief experimentation with import liberalization, import
      restriction were re-imposed in the early seventies. Protection levels were
      also high in Uruguay and little effort was made to promote export. 7. Export-oriented Industrialisation     
      Nevertheless, import-substitution industrialisation led to rapid
      increases in industrial production in most developing countries as both
      local and foreign entrepreneurs took advantage of government financial
      incentives and market protection. However, ISI led to the creation of
      high-cost industrial because small domestic markets mean full economies of
      scale could not be realised. Initially, this was not the major problem
      because basic food and consumer goods had large markets, but it became a
      major problem as countries tried to proceed to the second round of import
      substitution involving more specialized goods, which needed large markets
      for efficient production. Costs also increased because of the absence of
      competition both from local producers and imports. In addition, ISI was
      seen to have failed to reduce external dependence, since in many instances
      raw materials were imported. More importantly, firms in developing
      countries had brought or licensed technology from developed countries.
      Finally, the heavy involvement of the state, particularly through
      state-owned enterprises SOEs, was proving to be a major drain on resources
      (Chandra, 1992). All these reasons have led to the adoption of export
      oriented industrial policies, particularly since the early 1960s, a small
      number of developing countries began successfully to produce industrial
      goods for export. Among the first to do so were the East Asian Newly
      Industrialising Countries (NICs): Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and South
      Korea. With the exception of Hong Kong, these had all undergone some
      import-substituting industrialisation in the 1950s, but shifted the
      balance toward export promotion in the 1960s (Jenkins, 1992).     
      In the late 1960s a number of other developing countries began to
      give more emphasis to export promotion, without abandoning the policy of
      import substitution and the protection given to domestic producers. In
      particular, a number of Latin American countries, including Brazil, as
      well as other Asian countries began giving incentives to manufactured
      exports at this time.     
      In many developing countries growth of national income and
      manufacturing output since 1960 has been high by most standards of
      comparison; whether in relation to historical rates in these countries
      before 1960, in relation to rates currently achieved by developed
      economies, or in relation to the growth performance of the developed
      economies at earlier stages of their industrialisation. (Table 1, below)
      gives the growth of manufacturing production in developing countries, and
      developed countries for two periods after 1963. The impact of first oil
      shock is apparent since in both groups growth is lower after 1973, but in
      both periods developing countries achieved higher rate of growth of
      manufacturing; 8% per year 1963-73, and just under 5% 1973-83. It should
      be noted that at no stage in the 19th and early-twentieth
      centuries did manufacturing output in any developed industrialised
      countries grow by around 8% per year for any sustained period (Bairoch,
      1975). It is only in relation to the industrialised Centrally Planned
      Economies that the growth of developing countries appears less impressive:   Table 1: Annual
    average growth of manufacturing production by economic grouping:   
 Sources: United
    Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) (1984), p. 8.       
      However, as (Figure 1, below) indicates, the developing countries
      share of World industrial production remain roughly constant at about 10%
      until the later 1960s. It then showed an upward trend until 1980,
      increasing to more than 13%. Finally in the 1980 the share levelled off or
      even declined slightly after 1982 under the impact of the debt crisis.     
      There is a similar pattern in the share of developing countries in
      exports of manufactured goods with an even more pronounced increase in
      share in the 1970s than for production. Unlike the case of production, the
      developing countries share of manufactured exports continue to increase
      even after 1982, and as a result, exceeded its share of world industrial
      production for the first time in 1983. This no doubt reflected the
      increased pressure on debtor countries to expand exports in order to
      service their debts, despite the relatively slow growth of world trade. Figure
      1: Third World share in World manufacturing value-added (MVA) and
      manufactured exports. MVA
      is the value of sale minus the value of purchases of material inputs in
      manufacturing.   
     Source: (Jenkins, 1992, pp. 20)     
           
      One can also add a further qualification: that developing countries
      still remain very far from self-sufficient in manufactures. In the early
      1980s, with the exception of South Korea, even the industrially successful
      NICs imported more manufactured goods from the developed economies than
      they exported to them. For developing countries as a group the trade
      deficit is far wider, with import of manufactures from developed economies
      nearly four times manufactured exports to these countries (UNIDO, 1985)     
           
      Therefore, the general conclusion remains that from the available
      data it appears that significant degree of industrialisation has taken
      place in many developing countries since the 1960, although few as yet can
      be seen as “Industrialised”. Success in industrialisation has been
      distributed unevenly between countries, and in most instances in the short
      period of growth has not been enough to transform social and economic
      conditions within these countries. Most studies on poverty, for example,
      indicate a rising absolute number of people living in poverty since 1960,
      although their share in total population may have fallen (Adelman, 1986).  8.
      The level and structure of industrial development of developing countries
      – to the uneven of World’s industrial development     
            
      No aspect of development planning in the developing World has been
      as widely adopted and persistent as industrialisation. Nearly all
      governments in developing countries, whether large or small, are fully
      committed to at least a certain levels and a degree of industrialisation
      to meet more adequately the rapidly rising aspirations of their burgeoning
      population. As the follow will demonstrates, while considerable progress
      has been made in developing world industrialisation, success has graced
      only a few countries, and the vast majority have made hardly any progress.
      For that I go on to examine the level of industrial development in to two
      ways: a)    
      The first is to examine the importance of manufacturing production
      in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (see Table 2, below) Table 2. The share of the manufacturing sector in GDP
      of developing countries   
            Two main points emerge from this table: -
      First, manufacturing still constitutes only small part of the national
      economy for most developing countries; and, - second, there has not been a
      major change in the importance of manufacturing in the GDP of the
      developing countries from 1963 to 1983, in fact, the proportion changing
      by only 1.9 percentage points. By way of comparison, it should note that,
      in 1983, manufacturing in developed market economies contributed 25% of
      GDP. Clearly, therefore, that there has been little structural change in
      the economies of developing countries as a whole since the 1960-83.    
         
      b) The second, equally important, index of developing countries
      industrial development is its share of global manufacturing value added
      and trade, which demonstrated in (figure 2, below): Developing countries
      still account for a very small proportion of world manufacturing
      production: it shows only 11.6 per cent in 1984 (GATT, 1988).   
          Figure
    2. Share of developing countries in world manufacturing value added and
    trade 
     It is equally clear that from 1960 to 1987, a period almost three decades there has not been a major change in the industrial development of developing countries, and their contribution to world manufacturing value added (as shows in the follow figure 3, below) Figure 3. Share of developing countries in world manufacturing value added at constant (1975) prices. 
     Source:
     United
    Nations (1985) This is not to say that there has been no increase industrial expansion in the developing countries, for clearly, there has, but that the share of developing societies production of global manufacturing production has not changed significantly.   Figure 4. Share of developing countries in world exports of manufactures 
           
    From the (figure 4, above): - It is clear that, although the
    developing countries share of global trade in manufactures remains small (a
    bit more than 14 per cent in 1987), there has been a rapid improvement in
    its manufacturing trading position: a change of 219 per cent between 1963
    and 1987, albeit on small base (GATT, 1988).     
    This difference in the manufacturing trade performance of developing
    countries and their share of global manufacturing value added is interesting
    – it points to the tendency among the developing countries toward
    export-oriented industrialisation – the over all industrial production in
    developing countries is not expanding much faster than in industrialised
    capitalist and centrally planned economies, but these countries are
    exporting more of their production (Chandra, 1992). 9.
      Regional Industrialisation - the uneven of industrial development in
      developing countries.      
      As mentioned earlier in this essay, the conventional grouping
      “developing countries” is very heterogeneous, covering countries with
      very different population sizes, income levels and political and social
      cultures. In addition, the developing World comprises a diverse group of
      countries with different resource endowments, comparative advantages,
      international alliances and linkages. It is not surprising, then, that
      there have been marked contrasts in the performance of developing
      countries in industrialisation. (Table 3, 4, 5) below portray spatial
      diversity in manufacturing in the developing countries:  Table
    3. Regional contrasts in manufacturing in developing countries 
         
        Region               
        Share in manufacturing                  
           Share
      in manufactured 
                                     
                1965 
            1973  
            1985           
      1965      1973   
      1985
 Source: World
    Bank (1987) World Development Report 1987, New York, Oxford
    University Press for the World Bank.       
      As we can see, the very major contrast between the manufacturing
      performance of middle-income countries and low-income countries is that:
      The middle-income countries have consistently performed better in
      manufacturing production and exports. Not only this, but also that, the
      gap between the manufacturing performance of middle-and low-income
      countries has been widening. For example, whereas in 1965 the share of
      world manufacturing value added of the two groups was roughly equal, in
      1985 the middle-income countries’ share was more than twice that of the
      low-income countries.     
      Within the later, the least developed countries “tropical
      Africa” (in table 4, below) for example, have done particularly worse:
      their share of world manufacturing value added has remained unchanged in
      the last 25 years since 1960s, in fact, even it seem to be that its going
      to ‘shrink’ further. Table 4. Regional share of world manufacturing value
    added 
      Region                     
        Share of manufacturing value added 
                                             1975                  
    1980               
      1985
 Source:
    United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (1988) Industry and
    Development: Global Report, 1988/89, Vienna, UNIDO.   Table 5. The leading developing country exporters of
    manufactures in 1986 
                    
        Country         Value of exports in 1986 
            Percentage of total developing 
                                        
    (US $ million)             
      country manufactured exports
   Source: United
    Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) (1988) Protectionism
    and Structural Adjustment: Problems of Protectionism and Adjustment, New
    York, UNCTAD.     Figure 5. The global distribution of industry 
       Source:
    Gordon, 1989. see in (Jenkins, 1992). 10.
    Conclusion - Industrialisation and Underdevelopment - Developing
    Countries
    – Types of Problem Region      
       Most, perhaps three-quarters, of the world’s population
      still lives in what are called the ‘developing’ countries. By this we
      mean countries in which by far the greater part of the people are
      desperately poor, their poverty generally being associated with some kind
      of farming carried on by traditional methods, far removed from modern
      techniques, and often in difficult climates, on difficult soils, and with
      small amounts of land in relation to the numbers of people trying to get a
      living from it (Brown & Burrows, 1979)     
      Despite more than a second half of the twentieth century of
      industrial development since the end of the Second World War, today
      poverty is on the rise in developing countries, and as we are now in
      entering into the 21st century, the condition of developing
      countries are:   Not
      only have consumption levels been too low to meet basic needs for more
      than a billion people, their growth has often been slow and interrupted by
      setbacks. In 70 countries with nearly a billion people consumption to day
      is lower than it was 25 years ago. It cannot be raised without
      accelerating economic growth – but growth has been failing many poor
      people and poor countries. Despite the spectacular growth of incomes for
      many people in Asia, only 21 developing countries worldwide achieved
      growth in GDP per capita of at least 3% each year between 1995 and 1997
      – the rate needed to set a frame for reducing poverty.   (UNDP
      - Human Development Report, 1998 p.7)       
      Many economic development experts (both modernisation and
      dependency theorists), politicians, and large segments of the general
      public became accustomed after 1945 to think of the world economically
      divided into two: There were industrialised societies and there were
      others – Underdeveloped or developing. A society either had it or did
      not. Other terms came into play. “Third World” was initially a Cold
      War concept which was coined by the Chinese during the later 1950s (Bhagavan,
      1990) to identify societies that were neither permanently aligned with the
      West (capitalist democracy or the First World, which the economic,
      political and military alliances led by the United States America) or with
      the Soviet bloc (communism – the Second World), but because most of the
      Third World countries were also not completely industrialised, the term
      survived the Cold War and mean simply underdeveloped. In fact it is
      designed to identify the collective term for the countries of Africa, Asia
      and Latin America whose populations are poor, who agriculture, industry
      and infrastructure are backward, and where illiteracy, malnutrition, child
      mortality and ill-health are widespread, in comparison with the first and
      the second world. Finally, in the 1980s and the 1990s the North – South
      dualism became popular: The “North” mean industrial, the “South”
      mainly the non-industrial Southern Hemisphere but also North Hemisphere
      nations, like those on the Indian subcontinent, where great poverty
      persisted and industrialisation seemed to lag (Stearns, 1993).   South
      Korea was given preferential treatment by the USA and Japan, whose capital
      and technology streamed into South Korea during the 1960s and 1970s,
      laying the base for rapid industrialisation. In addition, successive US
      government actively promoted the import of South Korean goods into the US,
      allowing unrestricted and free entry.                                                                                              
      (Bhagavan, 1990 p.89)    Industrialise countries had, by definition, more
      manufacturing, more advanced technology, and (except for Eastern Europe)
      higher living standards on average than less industrial ones. Beyond this
      real but rather gross distinction, however, the “Third World” label
      was almost completely misleading in implying some uniform, barely changing
      condition for the majority of the world’s population that lived in
      “non-industrial” economies. Ironically, the distinction would have
      been considerably more valid in the two previous phases of the world
      industrial history, when a large number of societies developed very little
      factory industry of their own and seemed helpless to launch of process of
      significant change save insofar as this was forced on them by established
      industrial powers (Stearns, 1993) through the process of imperialism and
      colonialism in the past and advantages through the uneven of the “World
      System” (Rojas, 1998) as we know today: Bretton Woods institution, IMF,
      GATT, Uruguay Round, WTO, the Paris Club, London Club, etc… for these
      are political and economical industrial instruments which help them to
      become significant wealthy developed and industrialised which we in today
      called the ‘North’.     
      The result as we can see in today at the end of the twentieth
      century, a glance at the distribution of world industry will immediately
      reveal the gap between the developed world and the Third World. “The
      developed capitalist countries, with a sixth of the world’s population,
      account for 64 per cent of the world manufacturing industry and consume
      more than haft the world’s energy. The Third World with almost
      four-fifths of the world’s people, produces only 14 per cent of its
      manufactures and consume only a quarter of world energy” (UNIDO, 1990).     
      This division between an industrial centre and a less developed
      hinterland has characterised the world economy for over two hundred years,
      since the first industrial revolution in Britain in the late eighteenth
      century. For many development thinkers, this was seen as a mutually
      beneficial relationship whereby different countries specialised in
      producing those commodities which they were relatively good at producing,
      and everyone gained. Others however have emphasised the unequal
      relationship between centre and periphery by which the industrial
      countries were able to obtain the lion’s share of the benefits from
      international trade. For them this international division of labour was
      associated with colonialism and neo-colonialism which blocked the
      industrialisation of the periphery.         
      The emergence of the Third World, as colonies in Africa and Asia
      gained their independence after the Second World War, led to concerted
      efforts at industrialisation in the periphery. However, as the figure
      quoted above indicate, industrial production continues to be highly
      concentrated in the traditional industrial centres. Political independence
      has not transformed the international division of labour. At the same
      time, rapid industrial development has occurred in certain newly
      industrialising countries (NICs). Nevertheless, the countries of the
      developing world possess in varying degrees the factors of industrial
      production, raw materials, labour, energy resources and capital. These
      relative factor endowments will condition the form which their development
      path, including industrialisation, takes. These endowments will have been
      influenced by their particular historical experience, including
      colonialism. The many countries Developing World differ from each other
      not only in their natural resource endowments but also in their size,
      their access to capital from outside the country and in their political
      ideologies, social goals and attitudes to economic and social planning.
      The consequent opportunities, and problems, will thus vary considerably
      for industrialisation as for agricultural development and the second haft
      of the twentieth century have illustrated this./.    Bibliography: Adelman, I. (1986)
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